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PublicationApplying ARCH, GARCH, GARCH MLR Models to Forecast Volatility of Transportation Sector through Its Three Subscribe Modes Like Road, Water, Seas Ways: Empirical Case of Ho Chi Minh, Vietnam( 2021)Vu Thi Kim HanhThe paper aims to empirically apply ARCH, GARCH (a,b) model to weight the average of the variance in historical data. (a,b) is order of model which this paper applies a = 1 and b = 1 in which b is order of GARCH, and a is order of ARCH which is square residual of the previous day. The objective of empirical Application is to forecast the volatility of GDP of Transportation Logistics (TL) through GDP of its three sub-sectors which are Road Transportation (RT), Inland Water Transportation (IWT), and Seas Transportation (ST). The author then has proposal models are MLR, ARCH MIR and GARCH (a,b) MLR to assess the dependence GDP of TL on GDP of its three sub-sectors which are RT, IWT, and ST. The first finding of study is ARCH and GARCH (a,b) which a = 1 and b = 1 can be empirically applied to predict the volatility of GDP of TL through GDP of RT, IWT, and ST. The second finding is that after tested MLR, ARCH MLR, and MLR GARCH (1,1), the output results show that almost values are not statistical significance, that means we cannot use MLR, ARCH MLR, and GARCH (1,1) MLR to assess the dependence of GDP of TL on GDP of its three sub-sectors which are RT, IWT, and ST.
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PublicationBuilding New Rural Areas in Vietnam( 2022)
;Nguyen Hay ;Le Quang HuyPham Van KienThe study focused on the orientations of building sustainable new rural areas associated with urbanization. This was very necessary, in order to develop a concentrated, commodity agriculture and to form residential areas and infrastructure, which were suitable to the process of industrialization and modernization of agriculture and rural areas. The agricultural sector was restructured, and the living conditions of rural people were improved close to those in urban areas. The project of the National Target Program on building new rural areas in Vietnam was analyzed. The program has achieved many expected results. In which, the construction of new rural areas has achieved great achievements. The basic socioeconomic infrastructure in the rural areas was strengthened in a synchronous direction. The sustainable development of the rural economy was in the direction of increasing added values and raised people’s incomes and gradually narrowed the gap between rural and urban areas. The work of landscape construction, implementation of environmental sanitation had a remarkable change. -
PublicationHow Social Commerce Characteristics Influence Consumers' Online Impulsive Buying Behavior in Emerging Markets( 2022)
;Quyen Phu Thi Phan ;Vu Minh NgoNguyen Cao Lien PhuocWith the rapid development of social commerce, consumers may easily purchase products they did not plan to purchase or do not really need when they surf social networking websites and browse posts. However, the literature on social commerce pays little attention to the extant knowledge of online impulse buying behavior (OIBB), especially in emerging markets. This study investigates the role of social commerce characteristics in shaping consumers' online impulsive buying behavior. Data was collected from 240 Vietnamese consumers with experience in online shopping. Using a Partial Least Square 3.0 analysis, the results indicated that socialization and availability of information significantly influence the urge to buy impulsively, but do not influence impulsive behavior. In contrast, personalization and product selection influence both the urge to buy impulsively and impulsive behavior. The findings also indicated that gender and age do not impact online impulsive buying behavior. Study outcomes offer useful insights to both academicians and practitioners. -
PublicationStudy on Assessing the Role and Contribution of the Fiscal Policy - Monetary policy Combination in Macroeconomic Management: A Case Study from Vietnam (2010–2020)( 2021)Vu Thi Kim HanhIn the period from 2011 to 2020, despite the complicated and unpredictable fluctuations of the world economic situation, especially the Covid 19 pandemic from December 2019 has become increasingly unpredictable and dangerous so far. However, Vietnam's economy has succeeded in overcoming instability and recovering GDP growth rate. Contributing to this result must be mentioned the role of fiscal policy and monetary policy, in which the coordination between the two policies is increasingly focused and achieved more effectively. The study uses qualitative method and multivariable linear regression (MLR) to clarify the role of monetary policy and monetary policy in macroeconomic management. The object of this study is to to clarify and deepen the role and contribution of the combination of FP and MP in macroeconomic management.